GRAMMY Guide: My Predictions for The 55th GRAMMY Awards Nominations
It's that time of the year again! GRAMMY season will formally kick off on Wednesday when nominations are announced for the 55th GRAMMY Awards at a televised Nominations Concert and Ceremony in Nashville, TN. The night will lead to the official GRAMMY Awards telecast that will air on February 10, 2013 on CBS. With nominations around the corner, it's a good moment to gather predictions about which artists, songs and albums will likely be competing for GRAMMY gold in the hotly-contested general and pop categories. (Note that only records that were released between October 1, 2011 and September 30, 2012 are eligible for consideration.)
Record of The Year: Even though two of Adele's singles are eligible for nomination, it is generally expected The Recording Academy will favor other artists this year. That leaves the field wide open and nominations will most certainly lean pop. Likely nominees in this category are Gotye feat. Kimbra "Somebody That I Used To Know," fun. featuring Janelle Monae "We Are Young" and Frank Ocean "Thinking About You." The Academy may also select Katy Perry "Wide Awake," Drake feat. Rihanna "Take Care" or Bruce Springsteen "We Take Care Of Our Own." Carly Rae Jepsen may have a shot in this category as well with her summer smash "Call Me Maybe" but I think it is more likely she leads in the pop categories.
Album of The Year: A lot of terrific albums were released this year, but I expect the race will be between Frank Ocean "Channel Orange," Mumford & Sons "Babel" and The Black Key's "El Camino." It's an ecletic bunch that can certainly use a dose of pop with nominations for fun. "Some Nights," Coldplay "Mylo Xyloto," Maroon 5 "Overexposed" and P!nk "The Truth About Love." Dark horse nominees are Bruce Springsteen "Wrecking Ball" and Rihanna "Talk That Talk" (Rihanna was nominated in this category last year with "Loud"). The Academy may also have been enamored by Lionel Richie's surprise country album "Tuskegee" and throw him a nomination.
Song of The Year: I believe Frank Ocean "Thinking About You" and fun. feat. Janelle Monae "We Are Young" are a solid lock in this category. I predict other nominees to round out the remaining three nomination slots are Katy Perry "Wide Awake," Maroon 5 feat. Wiz Khalifa "Payphone" and Ne-Yo's "Let Me Love You (Until You Learn How To Love Yourself)." David Guetta featuring Sia "Titanium" was one of the biggest songs of the year and I strongly feel its timeless quality warrants a nomination in this category as well. It would be an historic nomination as a dance music number has never been considered in this category before. (Note: Gotye was not entered for consideration in this category by his label.)
Best New Artist: Before making my predictions, let me first clarify the guidelines that apply to the Best New Artist category as they have been revised over the last few years. The Academy's rulebook states that artists who released a recording that establishes "the public identity" of that artist in the eligibility year may be considered. Any artist can be nominated (even when nominated before) as long as the artist hasn't released more than 3 albums and hasn't won a GRAMMY prior. I have no doubt that Gotye and fun. will be nominated in this category alongside Frank Ocean who made a significant impact on the music scene this year. I wouldn't be surprised if indie darlings The Lumineers would sneak into the final four as well. Carly Rae Jepsen has a good chance of getting nominated too. Long shot (yet equally deserving) candidates include Emeli Sande, Ellie Goulding, Ed Sheeran, Alabama Shakes, Michael Kiwanuka and Lana Del Rey.
Best Pop Solo Performance: It was a strong year in pop and this category is without a doubt one of the most competitive. Historically, this category often reflects what ruled the charts in the past twelve months. My predictions for nominations are: Carly Rae Jepsen "Call Me Maybe," Bruno Mars "It Will Rain," Kelly Clarkson "Stronger," "P!nk "Blow Me (One Last Kiss)" and Katy Perry "Wide Awake." (But don't be surprised if Adele's juggernaut success continues and "Rumour Has It" slips in at the last moment. She's an Academy fave.)
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance: I expect Maroon 5 feat. Wiz Khalifa "Payphone' to lead in this category and will vie for GRAMMY glory together with Carly Rae Jepsen and Owl City "Good Time," Gotye feat. Kimbra "Somebody That I Used To Know," fun. feat. Janelle Monae "We Are Young" and Coldplay feat. Rihanna "Princess of China." Rihanna may also pop up as a nominee with "We Found Love," together with Calvin Harris, but I think it is much more likely that this record will make impact in the Best Dance Recording category.
Best Pop Vocal Album: There are lot of great pop albums to choose from, but I predict the Academy will narrow it down to P!nk "The Truth About Love," Carly Rae Jepsen "Kiss," Maroon 5 "Overexposed" and possibly Justin Bieber "Believe." Other records that may receive a GRAMMY nod in this category are Rihanna "Talk That Talk," Gotye "Making Mirrors" and Adam Lambert's Billboard chart-topping album "Trespassing" that has been overlooked too many times and deserves peer recognition.
Let's see how nominations play out on Wednesday night when CBS will air the GRAMMY Nominations Concert & Ceremony live at 9 p.m. ET. I will be backstage at Nashville's Bridgestone Arena and cover all the GRAMMY goodness. Follow me @arjanwrites for updates.
December 4, 2012 | Permalink